Annual Strategy 2011 - Run Rabbit Run by TA Securities PDF

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Extra resources for Annual Strategy 2011 - Run Rabbit Run

Example text

Hence, we think even a slight changes in the production pattern is likely to have significant impact on prices. 4 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E Source: Oil World, TA Securities 2011 Market Outlook 39 TA Securities 2011 Annual Strategy A Member of the TA Group More Supply Being Diverted to Biodiesel Higher mandated biodiesel blending next year in few countries means more supply of vegetable oil being diverted into the biodiesel sector, and 2) higher correlation between CPO and crude oil price. Interestingly, the key propagators of higher biodiesel/ bioethanol blending are also some of the largest producers of vegetable oil, particularly the US, Brazil and Argentina.

23).  Rubber price has rallied recently and we believe prices will remain high due to supply shortage as well as strong demand from the automotive sector, particularly in India and China.  While higher CPO is a catalyst for growth, its non‐plantation segments are also expected to turn in strong profits over the next 3 years. The heavy industries business received a boost recently after receiving a Letter of Intent to build the 2 nd batch of patrol vessels, potentially worth as much as RM8bn.  That is set to change as the group is close to securing a deal to develop two prime land banks via the government land sale program, with a combined estimated GDV of up to RM16bn – RM18bn.

Hence, we think even a slight changes in the production pattern is likely to have significant impact on prices. 4 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E Source: Oil World, TA Securities 2011 Market Outlook 39 TA Securities 2011 Annual Strategy A Member of the TA Group More Supply Being Diverted to Biodiesel Higher mandated biodiesel blending next year in few countries means more supply of vegetable oil being diverted into the biodiesel sector, and 2) higher correlation between CPO and crude oil price. Interestingly, the key propagators of higher biodiesel/ bioethanol blending are also some of the largest producers of vegetable oil, particularly the US, Brazil and Argentina.

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Annual Strategy 2011 - Run Rabbit Run by TA Securities


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